SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
54.62% ( -0.08) | 22.76% ( 0.03) | 22.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( -0.09) | 43.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( -0.09) | 65.85% ( 0.08) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.06) | 15.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.11) | 44.99% ( 0.11) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% ( 0) | 33.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( 0) | 69.68% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 22.62% |
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