Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.