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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CL

Roma
3 - 2
Cagliari

Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedro (59', 90+1' pen.)
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawCagliari
74.08%15.37%10.55%
Both teams to score 54.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95%32.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.36%53.64%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.63%7.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.42%26.58%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09%40.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52%77.48%
Score Analysis
    Roma 74.08%
    Cagliari 10.55%
    Draw 15.37%
RomaDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 7.86%
4-0 @ 5.82%
4-1 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 3.56%
5-0 @ 3.03%
5-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 2.32%
6-0 @ 1.32%
5-2 @ 1.21%
6-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 74.08%
1-1 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.1%
0-0 @ 3.01%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-2 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.55%

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