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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
EL

Cagliari
0 - 2
Empoli


Godin (75'), Nandez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Francesco (29'), Stulac (69')
Zurkowski (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawEmpoli
31.02%24.93%44.05%
Both teams to score 56.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32%46.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05%68.95%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67%28.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94%64.06%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.13%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 31.02%
    Empoli 44.05%
    Draw 24.92%
CagliariDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 7.59%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.02%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 4.71%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.82%
0-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.05%

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