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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
SL

Empoli
0 - 3
Sampdoria


Zurkowski (59'), Luperto (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Caputo (31', 52'), Candreva (70')
Askildsen (73'), Torregrossa (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawSampdoria
49.38%25.14%25.49%
Both teams to score 51.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12%50.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24%72.76%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82%53.18%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34%34.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62%71.38%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 49.37%
    Sampdoria 25.49%
    Draw 25.13%
EmpoliDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.37%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.49%

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