Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.