Although Mourinho may choose to make several selection changes given his side's push for the top four and involvement in European football this season, Roma should still have too much strength in depth for their second-tier opponents and be able to secure safe passage through to the quarter-finals as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Roma	Draw	Genoa
47.19% ( -0.02)	26.2% ( 0)	26.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74%

54.26% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35%

75.66% (

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

-0.01)

22.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

-0.01)

56.78% (

0.02)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

0.02)

35.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

0.01)

72.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Roma 47.19%

Genoa 26.61%

Draw 26.19%

Roma	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.61%