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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 11.30am UK
San Siro
CL

Inter Milan
6 - 2
Crotone

Martinez (20', 57', 78'), Marrone (31' og.), Lukaku (64'), Hakimi (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Zanellato (12'), Golemic (36' pen.)
Reca (8'), Golemic (22'), Luperto (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCrotone
64.45%19.59%15.95%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81%39.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48%61.52%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52%11.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.68%36.31%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 64.45%
    Crotone 15.95%
    Draw 19.59%
Inter MilanDrawCrotone
2-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.84%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.47%
0-1 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.58%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.95%

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