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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
NL

Sassuolo
3 - 3
Napoli

Maksimovic (34' og.), Berardi (45+1' pen.), Caputo (90+5' pen.)
Duricic (30'), Santos (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (72'), Insigne (89' pen.)
Demme (69'), Ghoulam (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawNapoli
32.2%22.71%45.09%
Both teams to score 64.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.27%35.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.2%57.8%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27%55.73%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98%46.02%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 32.2%
    Napoli 45.09%
    Draw 22.71%
SassuoloDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.44%
1-0 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.2%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.65%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 5.41%
2-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.45%
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.63%
3-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.09%

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