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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
SL

Napoli
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Lozano (53'), Petagna (68')
Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (90+2'), Rui (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jankto (20')
Thorsby (38'), Ekdal (52'), Colley (82'), Ramirez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSampdoria
65.5%18.79%15.72%
Both teams to score 57.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11%57.89%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76%10.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.43%33.57%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21%35.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44%72.56%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 65.5%
    Sampdoria 15.72%
    Draw 18.79%
NapoliDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 7.23%
4-1 @ 4.23%
4-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.93%
5-0 @ 1.88%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.79%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-1 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 15.72%

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