SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
69.07% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0) | 12.7% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.01) | 40.13% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.01) | 62.5% ( 0.01) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( -0) | 10.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.74% ( 0) | 34.26% ( -0) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.01) | 79.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 11.4% 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 4.28% Total : 69.06% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.23% | 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.7% |
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