Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 63.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 1-0 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
