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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
SL

Sampdoria
2 - 3
Sassuolo

Quagliarella (55'), Balde (84')
Colley (49'), Tonelli (72')
Balde (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior Traore (2'), Caputo (56'), Berardi (58')
Caputo (34'), Magnanelli (44'), Chiriches (68'), Locatelli (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSassuolo
37.23%24.66%38.11%
Both teams to score 59.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58%66.42%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61%57.4%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27%56.73%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 37.23%
    Sassuolo 38.11%
    Draw 24.66%
SampdoriaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.11%

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