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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
PL

Atalanta
3 - 0
Parma

Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cyprien (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 76.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawParma
76.01%14.16%9.83%
Both teams to score 57.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.01%27.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.27%48.73%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9%6.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.85%23.14%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.94%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 76.01%
    Parma 9.83%
    Draw 14.16%
Atalanta BCDrawParma
2-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-0 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 8.17%
1-0 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 6.11%
4-1 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.82%
5-0 @ 3.42%
5-1 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 2.68%
6-0 @ 1.6%
5-2 @ 1.5%
6-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 76.01%
1-1 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 4.1%
0-0 @ 2.39%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 14.16%
1-2 @ 2.93%
0-1 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-2 @ 1.05%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 9.83%

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