Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 76.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
