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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
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Atalanta
5 - 1
Sassuolo

Zapata (11', 49'), Pessina (45'), Gosens (57'), Muriel (68')
Hateboer (25'), Romero (44'), de Roon (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chiriches (75')
Chiriches (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.63%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 19.38% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
61.63%18.99%19.38%
Both teams to score 64.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.06%29.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.88%51.11%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.15%31.85%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78%28.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.92%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 61.63%
    Sassuolo 19.38%
    Draw 18.99%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 7.38%
1-0 @ 6.31%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 4.67%
4-1 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-2 @ 2.75%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.62%
5-2 @ 1.29%
4-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4%
Total : 61.63%
1-1 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 2.68%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 18.99%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-2 @ 2.14%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 19.38%

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