SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 1-3 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 22.41% | 20.3% | 57.29% |
| Both teams to score 64.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.35% | 53.66% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.79% | 62.21% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% | 11.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.23% | 35.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.69% 1-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.73% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.79% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 3.02% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 4.54% 1-4 @ 3.78% 0-4 @ 2.88% 2-4 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.65% 0-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.09% 2-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.29% |
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