Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 1-3 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.