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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
ML

Sassuolo
1 - 2
AC Milan

Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 1-3 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
22.41%20.3%57.29%
Both teams to score 64.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.93%32.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.35%53.66%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79%62.21%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.78%11.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.23%35.77%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 22.41%
    AC Milan 57.29%
    Draw 20.3%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.69%
1-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.73%
2-0 @ 2.6%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 22.41%
1-1 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 4.54%
1-4 @ 3.78%
0-4 @ 2.88%
2-4 @ 2.48%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.26%
3-4 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.29%

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