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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
UL

Spezia
0 - 1
Udinese


Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawUdinese
36.52%25.44%38.04%
Both teams to score 56.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3%47.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11%69.89%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7%60.3%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85%59.15%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 36.52%
    Udinese 38.04%
    Draw 25.44%
SpeziaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.04%

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