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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
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AC Milan
0 - 3
Atalanta


Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
30.49%22.72%46.79%
Both teams to score 64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36%36.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2%58.8%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49%45.51%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 30.49%
    Atalanta BC 46.79%
    Draw 22.72%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 5.5%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 5.58%
2-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.79%

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