Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
