Inter were clearly in good shape going forward during pre-season, but also showed signs of defensive vulnerability, so victory at Via del Mare should not be taken for granted.
Though they may not keep a clean sheet, the Nerazzurri will still win on the opening night of their 2022-23 season, thanks to their abundant resources in the final third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
