Draws have been frequent in matches between Cagliari and Torino, with five of their last ten encounters (including two of the last four) ending in stalemates.
This trend, coupled with the Turin outfit's determination to avoid a third consecutive Serie A loss, points towards another draw in Sardinia.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.