SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
35.14% ( 1.06) | 25.85% ( 0.14) | 39.01% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.45) | 49.6% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.41) | 71.63% ( 0.41) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.42) | 27.17% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 0.55) | 62.57% ( -0.55) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.83) | 24.98% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -1.17) | 59.63% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.01% |
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