Only in September 2008 - incidentally, under current Juventus coach Max Allegri - have Cagliari previously lost four successive Serie A games without finding the net, and they can avoid such a fate by taking home a point on Sunday. Unlikely to be drawn into the thick of the relegation battle, Udinese may not match their intensity like-for-like, so could be caught out defensively at some stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
51.22%	25.71%	23.07%

Both teams to score 47.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.94%

55.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68%

76.32%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46%

21.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.39%

54.6%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87%

39.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15%

75.85%

Score Analysis

Udinese 51.22%

Cagliari 23.07%

Draw 25.71%

Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.07%