A change is as good as a rest, so a reformulated Udinese XI could pick up their first win since August by exploiting Cagliari's defensive deficiencies. The Sardinian side have picked up just two points from five away fixtures in Serie A, so they do not tend to travel well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).
0.85) 
-0.99) 
