As high-flying Fiorentina have been keeping things tight on home turf and Udinese have scored only six times on the road so far, the Viola should edge to victory by a single goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.04) 
