Both teams have several men absent and neither is particular adept at defending, so opportunities to score should be freely available. The sides shared seven goals in Sardinia when they most recently met, but free-falling Frosinone may hold on for a point this time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
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