No Serie A side has scored more times during the opening half-hour than Inter this season, while Udinese have often proved sluggish early on; conceding the most goals in the first 15 minutes. That seems like a recipe for defeat as far as the Fruilani are concerned - particularly as they lack the tools to fight back given their forwards' dire form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
1.87) 
-0.81) 
