Lecce took four points off Udinese last season despite finishing 10 points behind them in the final standings, and another draw between the sides here at the Dacia Arena looks likely.
All five of Udinese's points so far have come via draws, and while arguably stronger on paper, lingering injuries mean the hosts are likely to stay near the bottom for the time being.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.83) 
0.03) 
