SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
64.29% ( 0.59) | 20.54% ( -0.15) | 15.17% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.2) | 45.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.19) | 67.41% ( 0.18) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.11) | 13.29% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% ( 0.23) | 40.11% ( -0.23) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.72) | 42.24% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% ( -0.62) | 78.64% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 64.28% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.17% |
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