SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Fiorentina |
31.54% ( 0.3) | 25.11% ( 0.02) | 43.34% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( 0.02) | 47.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( 0.02) | 69.52% ( -0.02) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.21) | 28.29% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.26) | 64.01% ( -0.27) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.14) | 21.81% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( -0.22) | 55.02% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.34% |
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