Both teams have been short of ideas in the final third over recent weeks, and that promises a low-scoring affair by the lagoon. More effective on their travels throughout the campaign, Atalanta can finally eke out a win and start to rebuild their confidence ahead of Serie A's final furlong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
13.47%	18.04%	68.5%

Both teams to score 54.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73%

37.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.51%

59.49%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26%

39.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58%

76.41%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.09%

9.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.19%

32.81%

Score Analysis

Venezia 13.47%

Atalanta BC 68.49%

Draw 18.04%

Venezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.88% 1-0 @ 3.63% 2-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.47%	1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.04%	0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 7.48% 0-4 @ 4.69% 1-4 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-5 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2% 2-4 @ 2% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.01% Total : 68.49%