SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.27% ( -0.05) | 24.79% ( -0.1) | 53.95% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.32) | 53.35% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 0.27) | 74.89% ( -0.27) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.13) | 39.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.39% ( 0.11) | 76.61% ( -0.11) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.18) | 19.73% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.3) | 51.76% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.27% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.94% |
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