Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries.
As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.15) 
