SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
20.16% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( -0.01) | 57.25% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.02) | 45.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.02) | 68.12% ( -0.02) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.01) | 36.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.02) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.02) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.13% ( 0.04) | 44.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.25% |
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