Given the level of their wins before the World Cup, Lecce will be eager to build on their growing momentum in the race to avoid relegation. However, Lazio would have been happy to have a break from action, and a refreshed side should have too much in the final third for their hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.07) 
