Lecce's downward spiral could continue this weekend, as Milan are on a high from their Champions League heroics and have a point to prove in Serie A. While the hosts are far harder to beat on home soil, they rarely score more than once and will also be vulnerable to the Rossoneri's varied attack.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.31) 
