Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
65.12% ( -0.28) | 20.61% ( 0.11) | 14.27% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% ( -0.08) | 47.17% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% ( -0.07) | 69.4% ( 0.08) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( -0.11) | 13.7% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% ( -0.22) | 40.93% ( 0.23) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.19% ( 0.22) | 44.81% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( 0.17) | 80.78% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 65.11% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.27% |
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