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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
HV

Spezia
0 - 1
Hellas Verona


Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zaccagni (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
38.87%26.34%34.79%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26%51.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49%73.51%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96%26.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93%61.07%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59%28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84%64.16%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 38.87%
    Hellas Verona 34.79%
    Draw 26.33%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.79%

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