Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
