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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
FL

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
31.17%26.09%42.75%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44%51.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64%73.36%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32%30.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.94%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06%23.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84%58.16%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 31.17%
    Fiorentina 42.75%
    Draw 26.08%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.17%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.75%

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