Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match.