SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
55.9% ( 0.04) | 24.28% ( -0.01) | 19.82% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.05% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0) | 74.63% ( -0) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( 0.01) | 18.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.68% ( 0.02) | 50.32% ( -0.03) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( -0.03) | 41.31% ( 0.03) |
