Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 54.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.07) 
