It may not be pretty, but Sampdoria can eke out just their second win of the season, as their new coach exerts his grip on an ailing side. Still possessing some talented players, the hosts have enough individual quality up front to decide the tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Ascoli
29.09% ( 0.55)	25.7% ( 0.22)	45.21% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.11% (

-0.62)

50.89% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.23% (

-0.55)

72.77% (

0.54)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.09)

31.82% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.11)

68.25% (

-0.11)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.61)

22.47% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.92)

56.01% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 29.09%

Ascoli 45.2%

Draw 25.7%

Sampdoria	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.09%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.2%