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CL
Serie B | 1st Leg
Jun 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 1
Bari

FT(HT: 1-0)
Antenucci (90+6' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Sudtirol
Friday, June 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Bari

There will be no extra time or penalties in the event of a draw over two legs, and Bari will ultimately be promoted should that happen, due to finishing higher in the Serie B standings. Therefore, the onus is on Cagliari to maximise home advantage on Thursday, when they can establish a lead to protect during the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bari had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawBari
51.52%26.45%22.03%
Both teams to score 44.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.41%58.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.85%79.15%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12%22.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37%56.63%
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42%78.58%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 51.51%
    Bari 22.03%
    Draw 26.44%
CagliariDrawBari
1-0 @ 14.23%
2-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 22.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Parma
Tuesday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 0-1 Cagliari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 0-5 Cagliari
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Sudtirol
Friday, June 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Bari
Monday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Bari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Reggina
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Bari
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Cittadella
Monday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B


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