Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
