Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Benevento	Draw	Genoa
42.23% ( 0.01)	27.31% ( 0)	30.46% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.01)

56.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.01)

77.57% (

0.01)

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35%

61.65%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

-0.02)

33.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

-0.02)

70.44% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Benevento 42.22%

Genoa 30.46%

Draw 27.3%

Benevento	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.46%