Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
0.22) 
-0.13) 
