Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match.
0.14) 
-0.02) 
