Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match.
0.01) 
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