Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.11) 
