Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-1.55) 
0.31) 
