Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
5.19) 
-1.54) 
